Why is Venezuela oil rich, but cash poor?

5 things to understand about oil-rich, cash-poor Venezuela

Politics

The last straw

Violent protests erupted across the country following a Supreme Court decision in late March 2017 to strip the legislative branch of its powers. Amid an international outcry, President Nicolas Maduro reversed the decision, but it was too late. Thousands took to the streets to call for new elections and dozens died in clashes with security forces.

Politics

Starvation a growing problem

Venezuelans spend more than 30 hours a week waiting in lines to shop, and are often confronted with empty shelves when they finally enter a store. President Maduro blames the crisis on US price speculation. The opposition, however, accuses the Socialist government of economic mismanagement.

Politics

Health care crisis 'reminiscent of war zones'

In Colombia, Venezuelans are collecting medical supplies to send home, as seen in this picture. Hospitals around the country have compared conditions to those seen only in war zones. As patient deaths rise, health officials have sounded the alarm on the rise of malaria and dengue fever.

Politics

Venezuela's National Assembly seizes power from opposition-led congress

Venezuela's pro-government constituent National Assembly was established in July of 2017. The new body adopted the authority to pass legislation on a range of issues, effectively taking away the powers of congress, which was under the opposition's control. The move drew wide international condemnation.

Politics

Western powers slap sanctions Venezuela's ruling officials

In response to the ongoing political crisis, the United States and European Union imposed a series of sanctions against ruling officials. The US has blacklisted members of the Constituent Assembly and frozen all of Maduro's assets that are subject to US jurisdiction. The EU, meanwhile, has banned arms sales to the country and is lining up to freeze assets and impose travel restrictions.

Politics

Government victorious in regional elections

In October 2017, Venezuela held two votes: regional elections and elections for governors, which were overdue since 2016. The opposition boycotted the vote, but then split, as some candidates and small parties chose to participate. This caused a deep rift within Maduro's opponents. The government went on to sweep the contest, which detractors say was unfair and heavily favored the regime.

Politics

Debt default looms

Last November the oil-rich, cash-poor nation faced its day of reckoning, as officials met with creditors to hammer out a deal to keep the country from defaulting on its debt — estimated to be up to $150 billion (€127 billion). US and EU sanctions, however, have limited the chance of an agreement. Creditors will almost certainly go after the country's oil reserves.

Politics

The 'massacre of El Junquito'

In January, Oscar Perez, Maduro's enemy number one, was found by police in the Caracas neighborhood of El Junquito. The ex-cop had been on the run since he launched grenades at government buildings in the wake of the 2017 protests. The government labeled him a "terrorist." Perez and six other rebels were killed in the ambush, which the opposition denounced as an "extrajudicial killing."

Politics

Presidential elections scheduled

The new National Assembly announced in January that it would grant Maduro's call for snap presidential elections on April 22. The electoral authority, CNE, later moved the date to May 20. The EU, the US and 14 Latin American nations warned that they would not recognize the results. The mainstream MUD opposition alliance boycotted the vote.

Politics

Maduro wins

Maduro was re-elected to a second six-year term on May 20 with about 68 percent of the vote. Turnout was only 46 percent, according to the election body. However, the MUD opposition alliance, which boycotted the vote, put turn out at less than 30 percent. The Organization of American States called the elections neither free nor fair.

Venezuela is flush with oil, but strapped for cash. Empty store shelves and hospitals short on medicine have driven its people to desperation. DW outlines five key points to understanding the oil-based crisis.

An economic system aimed at freeing Venezuelans from poverty and a corrupt government is now starving them.

Politics | 07.04.2017

Food subsidies, higher education enrolment and access to healthcare were touted by long-time leader Hugo Chavez as evidence that his socialist revolution was a success. However, Chavez' time in office from 1998 to 2013 also launched two developments that lie at the root of Venezuela's current economic crisis: the expropriation of the oil industry in the name of nationalization and the expansion of import-based goods. 

Nicolas Maduro, his handpicked successor, continued this trend when he took office in 2013. 

- How will the military react?

- Opposition leader Capriles: The government is promoting the violence

- Venezuela 'coup' slammed across the world

Venezuela is facing the worst economic crisis in its history and the lowest oil production - only 2.5 million barrels a day - in 23 years. Here's a look at five key points to understanding what went wrong.

Venezuela Caracas Demonstration gegen Präsident Maduro

Deadly protests have erupted in recent weeks over fears that the president will eliminate congressional powers

1. How Venezuela can be oil rich, but cash poor

A lack of economic diversification lies behind Venezuela's economic woes.

According to OPEC's 2015 figures, Venezuela has the most proven crude oil reserves in the world, with over 300 billion barrels. That puts it ahead of Saudi Arabia (266 billion barrels), Iran (158 billion barrels) and Iraq (142 billion barrels).

Even though oil does not automatically equal cold, hard cash, the Venezuelan government has spent its money as if it did. A lack of transparency complicates determining exact figures on spending. What is clear, however, is that Chavez put black gold at the center of his economy: over 90 percent of Venezuela's exports and roughly half of the government's revenue come from oil.

When oil plummeted from $115 (107 euros) a barrel in 2014 to nearly half that, Venezuela's GDP shrank by 10 percent. The cost of a barrel of oil has been hovering around $50 since last year.

Venezuela Anhänger Hugo Chavez Kult

The legacy of Hugo Chavez is controversial. Supporters revere the political revolutionary. But critics attribute him with disasterous economic policies at the root of today's multiple crises

2. Oil without expertise is worthless

Oil prices don't tell the whole story. Chavez's approach to profiting from oil - which has been worsened by his successor - can be summed up by one word: mismanagement.

Petróleos de Venezuela (PDVSA), Venezuela's state-run oil company, staged a strike in 2002 after a coup failed to remove Chavez from power. In return, he fired roughly 18,000 of its personnel. The move marked the beginning of an intrusive approach to running state oil.

Opinion: A coup in Venezuela

In 2006, Chavez began another dangerous trend: minimizing investments in infrastructure and maximizing control of oil fields. Production declined without cutting-edge technology from foreign companies, not to mention supplies, like natural gas injections to extract oil.

Last year, Caracas imported 50,000 barrels of light crude oil just to prepare heavy crude oil for export. Without it, Venezuelan oil is useless.

Venezuela Nicolas Maduro

President Maduro took office after Chavez's death in 2013. His government has circumvented an opposition-controlled legislative branch by issuing decrees

3. Tankers can't deliver

Maritime law only allows vessels to sail the high seas if they meet environmental standards. Venezuela's crude-stained, aging tankers don't.

The PDVSA has a backlog of cleaning bills it can't pay. According to a recent Reuters report, the wait for some tankers lasts up to two months.

Scrub-downs aside, the ever-increasing likelihood of a Russian shake-down has given PDVSA even more cause for concern. In October, Russian state-owned shipping conglomerate Sovcomflot, which provides 15 percent of Venezuela's tankers, refused to release a vessel with Venezuelan oil over outstanding shipping fees. The bill: $30 million.

Venezuela owes money across the world as it defaults on payments for new tankers in Iran and shipyards in Portugal. Reports that PDVSA missed a $404-million payment in November - on bonds maturing in 2021, 2024 and 2035 - have further worried investors. The company denied the reports, attributing the delay to a technical issue.

Venezolanischer Öltanker

This archive picture from 2002 shows an oil tanker in Maracaibo, Venezuela during the strike against Chavez. In the years since, Venezuela has failed to modernize its oil delivery system

4. Russia and China bankrolling Venezuela

The biggest concern right now is that Venezuela will default on sovereign debt.

Moody's changed the outlook for Venezuela in 2016 from stable to negative in light of the "high probability" of a default.

International banks have long kept their distance from Caracas, which has imposed currency controls that require businesses to buy their money not through private banks, but through the government.

Read: Regional countries urge Venezuela to hold elections

In 2014, Venezuela borrowed nearly $50 billion from China and an estimated $5 billion from Russia when oil prices were more favorable. The deal was to pay back creditors in oil and fuel. A Reuters report in January, citing internal documents, said that shipments were delayed by up to 10 months.

Unable to extract more oil, much less ship it quickly, PDVSA has few options to increase its cash flow - making a sovereign debt crisis for the oil-dependent country more likely.

Venezuela Caracas Demonstrationen gegen Präsident Maduro

Multiple crises and an undiversified economy have pushed Venezuelans to their limit. Tear gas or water cannon awaiting them, they refuse to back down

5. How this crisis could spill into the US

A name heard often in connection with Venezuela's crisis is Citgo. PDVSA bought the Houston-based refiner in the 1980s.

In late 2016, Venezuela's state-oil company used nearly half of its shares in Citgo as collateral for loans it received from Russian-company Rosneft.

Although financial experts have questioned the likelihood of Russia taking over Citgo if PDVSA defaulted on the loan, US lawmakers aren't so sure. In April, Republican and Democratic lawmakers in Washington warned President Donald Trump of the unusual business dealings. According to their letter, Russian involvement in the Houston-based company could pose a problem to US national security.

Read: Venezuela's appeal to UN an 'admission of inability'

The only silver-lining of Venezuela's political crisis is the prospect of snap elections. Opposition-led demonstrations might strain Maduro enough to leave office before 2019. Signs of a political shift toward economic diversification and a willingness to open its markets to foreign companies could bolster market confidence - and save Venezuela from drowning in its own oil.

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Business | 12.04.2017

Venezuelans struggle to make ends meet