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German investor sentiment slumps

June 12, 2018

The mood among German investors took a deeper-than-expected slide in June, weighed down by concerns about the impact of an escalation in a trade dispute with the United States and political instability in Italy.

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ZEW-Chef Achim Wambach
Image: picture-alliance/dpa/U. Anspach

The Center for Economic Research (ZEW) released its sentiment indicator for June on Tuesday, showing investor morale fell to minus 16.1 points from minus 8.2 in May. This was a steeper drop than the consensus forecast reading of minus 14.0, and the lowest since 2012.

A separate gauge measuring investors' assessment of the German economy's current conditions edged down to 80.6 from 87.4 last month.

"The latest escalation in the trade dispute with the United States and fears about policies by the new Italian government that could destabilize the financial system are leaving their mark on the outlook for Germany," ZEW president Achim Wambach said in a statement.

Read more: Italy and the eurozone: the cloud returns

In addition to the geopolitical stress, official data have pointed to weakness in Germany's large manufacturing sector that began in the first three months of this year cascading into the second quarter.

Read more: German industrial orders fall, but backlog helps

"German industry has been reporting worse than expected figures for exports, production and incoming orders for April. As a result, the economic outlook for the next six months has worsened considerably," said Wambach.

ZEW assembles its report using a survey of roughly 350 financial analysts from banks, insurance companies and large industrial groups.

US and EU talk tough on trade

uhe/jh (Reuters, dpa)